2025 Q2 Capital Markets Review

As of June 30, 2025Q2 YTD
Canada Universe Bond Index-0.7%1.3%
S&P/TSX Index (Canada)8.5%10.2%
S&P 500 Index (US) in CDN$5.2%0.8%
MSCI World Index (Global) in CDN$5.9%4.7%
US$ / CDN$-5.2%-5.1%

2025 YTD Capital Market Commentary

  • Despite roller-coaster volatility, it was a positive first half for Equities as Canadian (S&P/TSX), US (S&P 500) and Global (MSCI World) Equity Markets all finished June at all-time highs.

  • Initial tariff shocks and trade‑policy uncertainty triggered a steep market sell‑off in early April when the S&P 500 fell about 20% below previous market highs but staged a swift recovery as trade tensions eased and corporate earnings outperformed expectations.

  • While the S&P 500 returned +6.2% in USD terms, a -5.1% USD  depreciation resulted in only a +0.8% return in CDN$ terms.

  • Both Canadian and International (EAFE Index) Equities performed strongly, returning +10.2% and +13.8%, respectively.

  • The Canadian Bond Universe was up a modest +1.3%. Long-Term Bonds (-0.5%) underperformed Short-Term Bonds (+2.2%).

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